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Corona curve rises slightly again: “We are left with fragile balance, we need patience and persistence” | Inland

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The decline in the number of new corona infections in our country has stopped, and the positivity ratio has also increased slightly. This is evident from the most recent figures from Sciensano. According to biostatistician Geert Molenberghs, the advance of the British variant of the coronavirus may be partly responsible for this, and it is possible that the figures will rise further in the coming days. Virologist Steven Van Gucht also thinks that: “We have a fragile balance.”

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“What we see is that we have been on a plateau for several months, where we alternate short periods of ascent and descent”, explains Molenberghs at HLN LIVE. “At the moment we are still in a declining period (versus the previous week period, ed.), but it seems that the decline has been slightly less pronounced in recent days. ” This could already be seen in the figures this morning: the weekly average reported today (1,813) is higher than that reported yesterday (1,792). Compared to the average of a week ago, there was still a decrease of 12 percent.

To explain the increased positivity ratio, the biostatistician points out that less testing is done during the holiday period. “Except in cases where it is really necessary, in people who have symptoms,” he said.

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The plateau phase is also continuing, according to virologist Steven Van Gucht. “That is certainly not a bad performance,” he said today at the press conference of Sciensano and the national crisis center. It may be that the figures will rise slightly further soon, but in general there has been a stabilization.

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The contamination figures for the past few days indicate that we can expect further rising figures soon,” says Van Gucht. “When we zoom out on the curve, we can say that the plateau phase in the corona numbers continues.”

Nevertheless, Van Gucht remains slightly optimistic. “These numbers show that we are still in a fragile balance with the virus. Better times are bound to come, but now patience and persistence are most beneficial. It’s hard, but hang on. Patience will pay. ”


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The rapid advance of the British variant may explain the stabilization, says Molenberghs. “We have gone from about 5 percent British variant to more than half of the new infections in seven weeks,” he said. “In the next two to three weeks we will even go to 80 percent. We know that this will put extra pressure, we have to keep that in mind in the coming days and weeks. ”

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The South African variant is currently responsible for 5 percent of the infections and the Brazilian one for around 0.5 percent. “But there is some uncertainty about that. However, our routine monitoring does not show that it is very widespread. That is not really to be expected. It always starts with a few cases, after which the number starts to increase sharply. ”

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The fact that the two new variants are not yet common, according to Molenberghs, may also be due to the fact that they have to compete with the British variant. “It’s just more difficult for those variants to break through. Article link

The British variant actually buffers the advance of the other two. ”

Mandatory vaccination is “last resort”

Despite the advance of the more contagious British variant, the figures in our country have not risen dramatically. According to Molenberghs, this is due to the measures: “This is not the time to discontinue the measures,” he warns. Article link

The biostatistician also emphasizes the importance of a broad vaccination coverage, although he is not immediately in favor of making it compulsory, even for staff in residential care centers. “That is a last resort”, it sounds.

“Willingness to vaccinate is increasing more and more. Article link

The biggest frustration is that vaccines are delivered so slowly, “says Molenberghs.” There are people who are concerned, often unfairly. It is important that we talk to them and provide them with the correct scientific information. ”

Also read: Nice weather this weekend: can I organize a barbecue? Or arrange to have a drink outside? This is now allowed and not allowed

Watch the latest videos about the corona virus here:

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