Between July 23 and 29, there were a total of 3,258 new confirmed cases of Covid-19, the disease causing the coronavirus. This is reported by Sciensano, the health center that assists the government in the health crisis.
The average of 465 does give a slightly distorted picture of the real situation. The data show significantly more infections on some days, with peaks reaching 668 on July 28 and 662 on July 29. On July 30 it was 496 and a day later 129. But those figures will increase because it usually takes a few days for all data from the test labs to be passed on to Sciensano. That is why he is in favor of the seven-day average system, which takes the average of the number of infections in the past seven days every day. That is the most stable way to correctly estimate the evolution of the epidemic.
The number of new positive cases per day is now at the level shortly after the lockdown in March. The figures are also expected to rise for some time to come. The incubation period of the virus can be up to two weeks, so we currently see a picture of the past in the tables. Only in a few weeks should the effects of the re-tightened corona rules seep into the figures. In addition, much more is being tested in the general population today than during the first peak. There was 20 percent more testing in the past week than in the weeks before. As a result, the figures cannot simply be compared with the past months.
“What we see now is only a small wrinkle compared to what circulated in March and April,” the Dutch professor of clinical virology Louis Kroes told De Volkskrant. That statement is in line with the conclusions of a new blood study by Professor Pierre Van Damme of the University of Antwerp. This determines the number of Belgians who have been infected with the corona virus at 800,000. That is 12 times more than the official figures.
The current circulation of the virus may be peanuts compared to March and April. Many more tests also reveal many more cases.
In itself, the numbers don’t look too good. But there are also nuances. Many infections occur in Antwerp, with more than 1,000 new cases in the city and province last week. In the rest of the country, figures are better, but increased vigilance is certainly necessary. ‘We see that although the figures in Antwerp are still rising, the increase in strength is decreasing, Boudewijn Catry of Sciensano tells public broadcaster VRT. “Although those figures are not yet consolidated and can still rise. In Brussels, the weekly average is 44 cases per day. However, the number of daily infections has risen in recent days. It is also rising in Liège and Verviers, although less spectacularly than in Antwerp. ‘
The situation in the hospitals is currently quite under control. Between July 26 and August 1, 159 people with corona were hospitalized, of whom only seven were from a rest home. 147 people also left the hospital during that period.
Hospital admissions are increasing. Between July 26 and August 1, an average of 22.7 covid patients were admitted per day. The week before that was an average of 17.9. In absolute numbers, however, it is hardly comparable to March and April. There are currently 259 corona patients in hospitals, compared to 210 a week earlier. There are 56 people on intensive care, compared to 44 a week earlier. As a reminder, at the first corona peak, over 2,000 intensive care beds were available to accommodate corona patients.
Three people die every day. The number of deaths remains stable.
The number of corona cases therefore continues to rise. However, the number of new hospital admissions and deaths follows the curves less quickly than at the first peak. One explanation is that the epidemic now mainly affects the younger section of the population. They are less likely to end up in the hospital than the older generations.
“Half of the people who are now infected with the coronavirus are under the age of 40,” says Catry of Sciensano Health Institute. ‘We also see that many new people who are now infected are between 20 and 29. It is up to that group to protect themselves and certainly to protect the vulnerable among us, the elderly and people with a reduced immune system. ” The fear is that the virus would become so widespread again that it would wreak havoc again among the elderly and the elderly.