The game is complex, as evidenced by the sudden closure of the wells after the Noc, on 10 July, had announced the lifting of the block on crude oil exports, thus allowing a first, partial recovery of production. The cold shower came 48 hours later with Ahmed al Mismari, Haftar’s right-hand man: “The opening of ports for the transport of crude oil is limited to an already stored quantity, the deposits will remain closed until the requests of the Libyan people will be satisfied. ” An act of “external interference”, the US say with regret and with serious consequences: compared to the 1.2 million barrels produced at regular regimes in the country, a minimum of 80 thousand of them were produced, with a net loss of two billions of dollars per month or 24 billion dollars compared to a Libyan budget which in 2019 was 56.3 billion dollars, to which are added the collapses of the related industries.
“In fact, there is no agreement on the distribution of proceeds,” explains Daniele Ruvinetti, an expert on Libyan dynamics and strategic consultant for international companies. «From what transpires, the revenues should be put on a blocked third party account for at least four months for a period of at least four months. During which, the parties should agree on the distribution of proceeds between Tripolitania, Cyrenaica and Fezzan “. A complex goal: Haftar does not want to leave the management of the proceeds to the Noc because it is aligned with the capital and Tripoli does not agree in giving money to the general to finance his war drifts. While Turkey demands before each ceasefire the general’s withdrawal from Sirte and Al Jufra. In this sense, the work of seduction by the United States towards the Emirates, the fiercest sponsors of the strong man of Cyrenaica, will be essential, a crucial step in whose success the Trump administration has placed its trust in giving life to the new demilitarized zone in the disputed desert. Libyan.