Coronavirus in Lombardy, “Mortality in the European average because Milan has resisted”


Milan has resisted. So much so that, thanks to this, mortality in Lombardy can be traced back to the European average: these are the results of a study conducted from the Vita Salute University of San Raffaele in Milan, which analyzed the data and the trend of the epidemic from Sars-Cov-2 in Lombardy and in 8 other metropolitan areas around the world: Greater London in England, Ile-de-France and Paris in France, the Brussels region, the Stockholm region in Sweden, Catalonia in Spain and then the Autonomous Comunidad of Madrid, the Copenhagen region in the Netherlands and the state of New York in the USA.


Coronavirus, today’s bulletin July 10 in Lombardy: inpatients drop to 190, six deaths in a day

According to the study, published in the Acta Biomedica magazine and carried out as part of a European H2020 project, if you look at the standardized mortality rates – and not the raw ones, or the absolute numbers, which are also influenced by the number of swabs made during the pandemic – it is evident that it is true that in Lombardy there have been many victims of Covid-19, given the greater presence of people over 70 in the region, where they are 17 percent of the general population. But it is also true that we are still in the European average from a statistical point of view: 70 days after the start of the pandemic, the Milanese researchers in fact found an average mortality rate in Lombardy of 141 per 100 thousand, compared to 296.1 for 100 thousand in New York, 177.8 in the Brussels region, 174.0 in Catalnogna, 166.6 in the Autonomous Comunidad of Madrid. Lower rates in Lombardy, however, had the Stockholm region (137.1 per 100 thousand), Greater London (123.25), Paris (82.1) and the Copenhagen region (44.2).


Coronavirus in Lombardy, “multiple and concentric assault from different stocks”: the study of San Matteo and Niguarda

A situation, the Lombard one, therefore less serious than what appeared when looking at the ‘naked and raw’ numbers, according to the San Raffaele team. The reason? Unlike other large metropolises and capital cities, Milan has ‘been saved’ in Lombardy. And it has withstood the advance of the virus far better than previously thought. Be careful, however: the critical issues are there anyway. The researchers, then, noted that Covid-19 mortality in Lombardy increased significantly between the fourth and seventh week of the epidemic (starting from the end of March, therefore). And, after that, it dropped less quickly than the other major regions examined (except Stockholm), presumably due to the outbreaks in the RSA.

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