Poland, Duda ahead of the presidential elections. But he will go to the ballot with the Europeanist Trzaskowski

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The outgoing conservative president Andrej Duda is ahead in the first round of the Polish presidential election with the 41.8% of consents according to exit poll. The ballot, therefore, is looming on 12 July with the mayor of Warsaw Rafal Trzaskowski, which stands at 30.4%. Only in two weeks will the outcome of the challenge between two figures that represent two very different paths for the future of the country and its role in Europe be known. To cope with the outgoing president, the Europeanist on the ballot Trzaskowski it will have to collect the votes of the other democratic candidates who until today, for strategic reasons, had not declared their intentions.

According to the first exit polls published by theIpsos after the seats are closed, Szymon Holownia, a Catholic journalist who presented himself as an independent candidate, received the 13.3% preferences, while the nationalist Krzysztof Boska would have obtained 7.4%. Follow the candidate of the left Robert Biedron with 2.9% and the leader of the Peasant Party Wladyslaw Kosiniak Kamysz with 2.6%. Among these, Holownia is Kosiniak Kamysz they could push their voters to vote for the first citizen of Warsaw. All polls on the second round of the presidential elections have, however, so far given Duda the winner.

For now, the turnout is surprising, higher than usual despite the pandemic. Already at noon he had voted on 24.08% of the nearly 30 million Polish voters; to 17 they were the 47.89% and the turnout was estimated to be 62.9% (in 2015 it was 48.96%). Numbers that make it clear how deep the ongoing conflict in Poland between those who fear the end of democracy and would like change, and those who follow the sovereign line of the current government of the leader’s Party of Law and Justice Jaroslaw Kaczynski which supports President Duda.

Poland is at a crossroads with the presidential elections also according to the former president of the European Council Donald Tusk who today voted in Gdansk and spoke immediately on Twitter. The choice to face is simple, according to Tusk: “The truth versus lies, respect or contempt, pride or shame. Nobody can pretend they don’t understand what’s at stake anymore, “he wrote. Meanwhile, for the outgoing head of state, the executive has put all his forces into the field: to increase the turnout of the most traditionalist electorate, for example, the government promised a few days before the vote new trucks of the firefighters for municipalities with less than 20 thousand inhabitants: and this is precisely in the regions where the turnout will be higher. Around 20 million Poles live in these municipalities. Several members of the government also attended the rallies in favor of Duda, while public radio and television supported him exclusively. A turning point in Poland is not excluded, but the way to Trzaskowski is uphill.

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