How the algorithm works: the new ranking


How Serie A algorithm works – The president of the FIGC, Gabriele Gravina, presented the much-discussed “algorithm” as the tool capable of offering the most objective ranking possible if there was a need to permanently suspend Serie A.

The formula has not yet been written in detail, but The Republic offers a first look at how the algorithm in question will work. The goal is to arrive at a ranking weighted by three factors: the performance at home and away, the number of games played and i goals scored.

It will not be taken into consideration instead the value of past and future opponents. In essence, mathematics cannot replace the unpredictability of a challenge, even the most obvious ones on paper. In fact, the system will calculate the average points at home and away, then will project them on the number of games left to simulate a ranking of 38 games. Goals scored at home and away will be further “correctors”.

Between one position and another in the final classification they dance from 500 thousand euros to 4 million. By tomorrow the Football Federation will define the percentage of impact on the real ranking of the calculation system. On Thursday at 12 he will then introduce him to Serie A, B, C, footballers, coaches and referees. However, the algorithm will not decide the Scudetto: if the playoffs cannot be played, the title will not be awarded.

Some paradox remains in the system. For example, if Juve lost in Bologna and immediately after the championship was stopped for a Coronavirus case, Lazio could overcome it without playing. Or if AC Milan came out in the Italian Cup semifinal and the championship didn’t start again, it would lose in one fell swoop two chances to go to Europe.

For all these reasons, the algorithm is only plan C, to be used if the championship is interrupted and if there is no time for the playoffs. With the aim of ensuring that the effect on the ranking is as small as possible.

How Serie A algorithm works – The ranking

Here’s what the final ranking might look like:

  1. Juventus 92.07
  2. Lazio 90.01
  3. Inter 81.96
  4. Atalanta 72.58
  5. Rome 65.76
  6. Naples 56.99
  7. Hellas Verona 53.71
  8. Parma 53.09
  9. Milan 52.09
  10. Bologna 49.69
  11. Cagliari 48.59
  12. Sassuolo 48.34
  13. Fiorentina 43.84
  14. Turin 41.16
  15. Udinese 40.91
  16. Sampdoria 38.98
  17. Genoa 36.86
  18. Lecce 36.53
  19. Spal 26.23
  20. Brescia 23.37

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