For three years ReteLibia has constantly called against the risk of one Syrianization of Libya. Today a very decisive step was taken towards that scenario.
Erdogan, thanks to the intervention of men and means, forced the general Haftar to withdraw from Tripoli: after 14 months to the strong man of the Cyrenaica the conquest of the capital of Libya has failed. The government of Al-Serraj looks to a new phase by incensing the Turkish ally that has revealed itself decisive, while others players how Italy chose to stay on the sidelines (although they could in the least return with the demining team requested by Tripoli).
According to the words of the interior minister of the government of national agreement (GNA) recognized by the UN, Fathi Bashagha, we are in the presence of “the beginning of the end of the entire dictatorship project” with an invitation to those cities that are still under Haftar to rebel against him to spare himself further conflicts. A scenario on which the word end will be written only after evaluating the impact that Russian fighters could have on the civil war, or when those who landed them will decide to use them seriously.
Not only Moscow, the pro Haftar faction also counts United Arab Emirates, France ed Egypt but it was the figure of the Mig that also put the US attention back into motion, which weighed it as a clear threat to NATO’s southern flank. Before that, US diplomacy, as happened since the administration started Trump, had proceeded to a sort of disengagement veiled from the Libyan coast.
Now instead, thanks to the November elections that are approaching and with the polls that give the Democrats in the lead in some key States, here is the White House returns to frame Tripoli and Sirte fearing chaos or a new and unpredictable reshuffle, which also affects energy interests, given that the US LNG is also directed to the countries of the Euro-Mediterranean area and the new mega ships Greek gas tankers are finished.
Not only has Italy sinned by inexistence, but it was the whole of European politics that was impalpable in the Libyan case. It is sufficient to observe how some Member States are lined up with one faction and others with the opposite one: not really the perfect icon of a union, if anything, a desire to go, as unfortunately often happened, in a scattered order and pursuing single national and non-national priorities strategies together.
But Rome did, if possible, worse benches because it was in his hand the point of victory but he sold it to Ankara. Losing balance, influences and consideration.
Erdogan expelled Haftar from Tripoli: Syrianization of Libya begins.