Phase 2: 82% of SMEs reopen but 30% fear final closure – Economy


Two weeks after the start of Phase 2, of the nearly 800 thousand businesses of commerce and services that were able to restart, 82% reopened the business: 94% in clothing and footwear, 86% in other commercial and service activities but only 73% in bars and restaurants. This is what emerges from a Confcommercio survey, in collaboration with SWG, which also highlights the contrary reading of the data: 18% of businesses that could reopen have not yet done so and the percentage rises to 27% between bars and restaurants.

Above all, for almost 30% of the companies that have reopened, the risk of closing definitively remains high due to the difficult market conditions, the excess of taxes and bureaucracy and the lack of liquidity.

The painful notes, explains the association of traders, emerge from the self-assessment of the interviewees on turnover: already in the first week the average of the ratings was well below the sufficiency. In the following week these fears are confirmed: 68% of entrepreneurs declare that the revenues of the first two weeks are lower than expected, when the expectations themselves were already quite low.

The estimate of the revenue losses compared to the “normal” periods for more than 60% of the sample is greater than 50%, with an accentuation of the negative judgments in the bar and restaurant area, a segment where more losses are concentrated even up to 70%.

“Unfortunately, the final evaluations are strongly negative. So far, in exploring the two surveys, carried out after a week, a significant oscillation of the judgments emerges between the desire to go back to doing business and rather dark perceptions on the trend of revenues , all seasoned by an explicit orientation of companies aimed at smoothing out the impact of difficulties and problems “, points out Confcommercio. If in the first week only 6% of the interviewees indicated a high probability of closing the company, in the second wave of interviews, against a more complex reasoning, 28% of the interviewees said that, in the absence of an improvement in the current business conditions, will evaluate the definitive closure of the company in the coming months. To corroborate this suggestion there are fears that in the near future you will still have to apply for a loan (50% of the sample), you will not be able to pay suppliers (40%) or to bear fixed costs (43%).

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