one in ten does not reopen

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Over 9 thousand merchants, artisans, restaurateurs and industrialists in the capital have already decided to close their business. Regardless of whether or not the end of the lock down guaranteed them to reopen in Phase 2. That is one in ten. But this number, between Rome and province, it could quadruple after the summer, putting at least 400 thousand jobs at risk. Because, as Stefano Di Niola, leader of the CNA, explains, “there are about a third of companies that are considering whether it is appropriate to continue”. The factors are clear: low demand, and not only because of the lack of tourists, increasingly complex access to credit and government aid or delays in layoffs. “Even those who reopened explain the experts gave themselves the next three months to decide. In the meantime, he looks around to see if there is any possibility of conversion and he keeps part of the employees in cig to keep fixed costs down. “

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Shops closed for coronavirus, for the judge the rent is not paid: the cases from Venice to Rimini

TOWARDS THE AUTUMN
This is the scenario of the capital economy in Phase 2. Out of half a million companies registered with the Chamber of Commerce – and according to the findings of Unindustria, Confindustria del Lazio, and of the major associations of the tertiary sector (Cna and Confcommercio) – are mainly four sectors that are hard to share and that pay uncertainty about the future: trade, crafts, catering and hospitality services, industry. That is, the backbone of the Roman GDP. The test will therefore be autumn. “Businesses – explains economist Rosario Cerra – are not all the same. In fact we will have three different models of restart: the big ones will have a V-model, with fall and rise as soon as the reference markets start; the U-shaped averages, because after the crisis there will be stagnation before the restart; the small L-shaped ones, with a drop and activity to a minimum ». The solution? According to the categories, aid is needed to “reduce fixed costs”.

Looking at the numbers, out of 65 thousand among neighborhood shops and artisan workshops, 30 percent have not yet opened the shutters after June 18. Of these, a third have already decided to close, liquidating the business or presenting the books in court.
Adding the numbers, the Capitoline fabric is likely to find itself at the beginning of autumn with about 20 thousand fewer shops and shops, if the recovery will not be late in manifesting itself in a city where the service sector lives more and more on tourism. Less traumatic recovery, but with many difficulties on the industrial front. For example, between Rome and the Province, there are more than 25 thousand manufacturing companies, with a number of SMEs engaged as subcontractors in sectors with a strong vocation for exports such as automotive and pharmaceuticals. According to the findings of the Unindustria study office, 60.1 per cent of the companies have restarted, 30.3 are partially closed, 30.3 are working in narrow gauge, 9.6 have not yet reopened. And it doesn’t have to be. Looking at the state of the art, 76.8 percent of the members of the local Confidustria “are experiencing problems related to a slowdown in demand”; market demand for goods and consumption, especially on the domestic front. 67.2 percent of entrepreneurs, on the other hand, complain of “management problems”. Above all, 40 percent “declared an insufficient level of liquidity to guarantee the normal functioning of the company”.
Meanwhile, the first conversions are recorded. That “however – adds Cerra – mainly concern the two opposites of the pyramid: small as tailors who start sewing masks, shops or restaurants that open to take away and large digital businesses. The others struggle. ” this is the case, for example, of Massimiliano Ciotti, one of the many small entrepreneurs: «I recently closed a training school in Monteverde. In recent times we have started offering services on the web marketing front: in the post Covid era we started with ecommerce platforms for small shops or beauticians or by creating digital menus for restaurants. It’s difficult, but we had no other solution. “

Last updated: 09:19

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