“Lombardy, Liguria and Piedmont cannot reopen”


Lombardy, Liguria and Piedmont are not ready for reopening. The altolà comes from the “Gimbe” Foundation, the independent think tank that deals with health research chaired by Nino Cartabellotta, who calls the hypothesis of reopening mobility throughout the country “risky”, accepting any decision by the southern Regions to activate the quarantine for those arriving from areas of greatest contagion “. A position based on the research carried out.

“The post lockdown analyzes of the Foundation – reads a press release issued in the morning – show that in these three Regions there are the highest percentage of positive diagnostic swabs and the greatest increase in new cases, against a limited aptitude for execution of diagnostic swabs “. Tomorrow the Minister of Health, Roberto Speranza will evaluate the monitoring of the contagion data by the Istituto Superiore di Sanità, the results of which will be decisive for formalizing the decision on the resumption of interregional mobility, set by the Government starting from June 3.

“Stop regionalisms, national unity is needed”. According to the Foundation, the deadline “with data reflecting the reopening of May 4, but not yet much larger than the one of 18, puts the Government before a decision which, in addition to being guided by data, must take place under the sign of solidarity between Regions and national unity “. “All forms of regional selfishness must be set aside – explains Cartabellotta – because the reopening of mobility must take place with an acceptable level of risk and in full harmony between the Regions. A decision under the sign of national unity would give the country a much more reassuring signal of a differentiated reopening, guided more by inevitable political compromises than by solidarity between the Regions, today more than ever necessary to overcome the unacceptable fragmentation of constitutional law to health protection “.

The analysis was carried out on the post lockdown period between 4 and 27 May, the analyzed data “reflect almost entirely the reopenings of 4 May, but not the much larger ones of 18 May which can be assessed in the period 1-14 June “, specify by the Foundation.

The results of the research. As for the results, the percentage of positive diagnostic swabs is higher than the national average (2.4%) in 5 Regions: significantly in Lombardy (6%) and Liguria (5.8%) and to a lesser extent in Piedmont (3 , 8%) Puglia (3.7%) and Emilia-Romagna (2.7%).

As regards diagnostic swabs per 100,000 inhabitants, compared to the national average (1,343), only Valle d’Aosta (4,076) and the Autonomous Province of Trento (4,038) stand out. In the three regions with a high incidence of new cases, the propensity to execute tampons remains slightly above the national average in both Piedmont (1,675) and Lombardy (1,608), while in Liguria (1,319) it is slightly below. And then there are the new cases. The incidence per 100,000 inhabitants compared to the national average (32) is significantly higher in Lombardy (96), Liguria (76) and Piedmont (63).

Underestimated data in Emilia-Romagna? In this regard, the “Gimbe” Foundation issues a warning on the situation in Emilia-Romagna. “If the data from Molise (44) is not of concern because it is linked to a recent outbreak already identified and circumscribed – reads the press release – that of Emilia-Romagna (33) could be underestimated by the number of diagnostic swabs (1,202 per 100,000 inhabitants ) well below the national average (1,343) “.

The three scenarios. On the basis of the assessments of the Technical-Scientific Committee, “the Government – comments the president of the Foundation – will face three possible scenarios: the first, more risky, of reopening mobility throughout the national territory, accepting any decision by the Regions in the south to activate quarantine for those arriving from areas of greatest contagion; the second, a reasonable compromise, to maintain the limitations only in the 3 regions most at risk, with the option of allowing mobility between them; the third, more prudent, to extend the total blockade of interregional mobility, without prejudice to the due exceptions currently in force “. Hence, for Cartabellotta, the need to arrive “at a decision under the sign of national unity”, putting aside “any form of regionalistic egoism because the reopening of mobility must take place with an acceptable level of risk and in full harmony with the regions”.

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