Coronavirus, phase 2 monitoring: ‘Contagion index below 1 in almost all regions’

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According to research conducted by the Ministry of Health and the Health Institute (ISS) during the period of further reopening of commercial activities, from 18 to 24 May, in Italy at the moment there is no critical situation relating to the Covid-19 pandemic. “Encouraging data,” comments Minister Speranza. Transmissibility index Rt in Molise at 2.2, but “don’t worry”. Government to confirm transfers between regions from June 3
At the moment in Italy there is no critical situation relating to the Covid-19 pandemic: “The encouraging trend continues”. In almost all regions, with the exception of Molise, the transmissibility indexes Rt are below 1 and the trend of new cases is decreasing. This is the result of the monitoring conducted by the Ministry of Health and the Health Institute (ISS) relating to the so-called Phase 2 in the period of further reopening of commercial activities, from 18 to 24 May (LIVE UPDATES – THE SPECIAL – GRAPHICS). The weekly incidence remains very heterogeneous in the national territory. In some regions the number of cases is still high denoting a complex but under control situation. In others the number of cases is very limited: “Caution is recommended especially when the movement of people on the national territory should increase”. The government, in the light of these data, seems intent on confirming the reopenings already in force on June 3: travel between the regions without limitations, travel to and from abroad. The ban on mobility for quarantined persons remains.

The government towards confirmation of shifts between regions

The government’s orientation emerged after a meeting with Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte, the heads of delegation, the Interior Minister Luciana Lamorgese, the Undersecretary of the Presidency Riccardo Fraccaro. During the summit, Health Minister Roberto Speranza presented the latest data on the epidemic. The government, however, according to what is learned seems to want to view the data that will come from here to June 2 before making a final decision. Hope confirmed the orientation of the executive. “At the moment there are no reasons to review the planned reopening of the trips. We will monitor the trend of the curve again in the next few hours,” he said. In the coming days there may also be a new meeting with the Regions. According to some sources, the Minister for Regional Affairs Francesco Boccia will hear the governors in the next few hours, just to continue to discuss the opening to intra-regional movements from June 3.

Hope: “Encouraging data”

deepening

Coronavirus, the civil protection bulletin of May 29


The monitoring of the Ministry of Health and the ISS takes into account 21 indicators, including the infectiousness index R0, but also the parameters of the health system, starting from intensive care. “The monitoring data is encouraging. The important sacrifices of the lockdown have produced these results. We must continue on the road taken gradually and cautiously,” commented the Minister of Health Hope. The lockdown measures introduced, the report points out, “have actually allowed control of COVID19 infection on the national territory even in a context of persistent widespread transmission of the virus with very different incidence in the 21 Regions. The current situation, relating to the start of the first transition phase, is generally positive “.

“Heterogeneous situation between regions”

The weekly incidence of cases “remains very heterogeneous in the national territory. In some regions the number of cases is still high denoting a complex situation but under control. In others the number of cases is very limited”. Therefore “caution is recommended especially when the movement of people on the national territory should increase in frequency and size”. There are no signs of overload of hospital services. The contagion index Rt among the regions is extremely varied: it ranges from zero in Basilicata, before reaching the finish line, to 2.2 in Molise, with some increases especially in Lombardy, which went from 0.51 last week to 0.75 current. The RT of Piedmont also rose, from 0.39 to 0.5 and of Veneto, from 0.56 to 0.65. Calabria is below average with 0.13, while Lazio remains at a higher Rt, 0.74. Trento and Val d’Aosta are close to 1 with 0.8 (however decreasing), Fvg with 0.9 and Umbria with 0.94. While for Campania Rt still being defined.
Here are the Rt indexes region by region:

Abruzzo 0.67,
Basilicata 0
Calabria 0.13
Campania in the definition phase
Emilia Romagna 0.55
Friuli Venezia Giulia 0.9
Lazio 0.74
Liguria 0.58
Lombardy 0.75
Brands 0.55
Molise 2.2
Piedmont 0.5
Bolzano 0.57
Trento 0.88
Puglia 0.62
Sardinia 0.51
Sicily 0.75
Tuscany 0.59
Umbria 0.94
Aosta Valley 0.8
Veneto 0.65.

“Reported new outbreaks, pay attention”

The report continues, “transmission signals with new reported outbreaks describing an epidemiologically fluid situation in many Italian regions. This requires strict compliance with the measures necessary to reduce the risk of transmission such as individual hygiene and physical distancing”. It is also “necessary to continue strengthening the territorial services for prevention and response in Covid-19 to face any epidemic upsurge”.

Rt Molise 2.2 index but “don’t worry”

The rate of contagiousness Rt in Molise is 2.2 – above the threshold level – but this “does not worry”, explains the monitoring of the Ministry of Health: “When the number of cases is very small, some Regions may have temporary an Rt greater than 1 due to small local outbreaks which end up affecting the regional total, without this – says the ministry – being a worrying element “.

In Valle d’Aosta Rt dropped to 0.8

In Valle d’Aosta the contagion index of coronavirus (Rt) dropped to 0.8 according to the ISS parameters. Furthermore, in the last 24 hours, no new positive cases have been recorded, as reported in the bulletin of the Crisis Unit. There are always 143 dead (72 men and 71 women, between 45 and 100 years old, average age 83 years), 1,182 infected since the beginning of the epidemic and 62 current ones. 977 recovered (4 more than yesterday). Finally, 12 hospitalized patients (none in resuscitation).



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https://tg24.sky.it/cronaca/2020/05/29/coronavirus-italia-monitoraggio-iss

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