Coronavirus, monitoring data for reopening: “Rt index under control, no critical situation”


“The monitoring data is encouraging. The important sacrifices of the lockdown have produced these results. We must continue on the road taken gradually and cautiously.” This was stated by the Minister of Health, Roberto Speranza, commenting on the analysis disclosed by the Ministry of Health and the Istituto Superiore di Sanità. The transmissibility index Rt is in fact less than 1 “in almost all the regions”. And at the moment, according to the ISS note, critical situations relating to the Covid-19 epidemic are not reported in Italy.For 7.30 pm the Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte called a meeting with the ministers at Palazzo Chigi to evaluate the monitoring data.
The analysis made represents the summary of the indicators set to establish whether the trend of the contagions would have allowed the reopening of the regional borders and takes into consideration the week between 18 and 24 May. Among the highest indices: Molise with incidence 2.62 and Rt 2.2
and Umbria with Rt 0.94 while the regions most affected in recent months by the pandemic that caused 33 thousand deaths, have lower values: Lombardy Rt 0.75, Veneto 0.65.But let’s see in detail the situation, remembering that the replication index measures the positive transmission of the disease while the incidence is calculated on the basis of the new cases diagnosed for every 100 thousand inhabitants from 18 to 24 May.

Incidence 2.74
Rt 0.67

Incidence 1.42
Rt 0

Incidence 0.1
Rt 0.13

Incidence 0.98
Rt being defined

Emilia Romagna
Incidence 6.32
Rt 0.55

Incidence 2.3
Rt 0.9

Incidence 1.6
Rt 0.74

Incidence 6.13
Rt 0.58

Incidence 16.68
Rt 0.75

Incidence 3.02
Rt 0.55

Incidence 2.62
Rt 2.2

Prov Bolzano
Incidence 1.51
Rt 0.57

Incidence 12.46
Rt 0.5

Autonomous Province of Trento
Incidence 12.57
Rt 0.88

Incidence 1.89
Rt 0.62

Incidence 0.37
Rt 0.51

Incidence 0.44
Rt 0.75

Incidence 2.63
Rt 0.59

Incidence 0.45
Rt 0.94

Val d’Aosta
Incidence 6.37
Rt 0.8

Incidence 1.63
Rt 0.65

These are the main results of the monitoring: “The weekly incidence remains very heterogeneous in the national territory. In some regions the number of cases is still high denoting a complex situation but under control. In others the number of cases is very limited. Yes therefore, he recommends caution especially when the movement of people on the national territory should increase in frequency and size There are no signs of overload of hospital care services on the national territory, the report says.

“Improved levels of resilience are observed. In the country, testing and screening policies continue to be strengthened regionally in order to identify the largest number of cases by carrying out isolation and quarantine / monitoring of close contacts (ie by implementing the” test strategy). – track – trace “).

Although this has increased the sensitivity of the diagnostic assessment, in almost all the autonomous regions and provinces, the weekly trend of new cases diagnosed by date of diagnosis / sampling is decreasing and the transmissibility indexes (Rt) are below 1. Regarding the estimate of the RT, it is emphasized that when the number of cases is very small, some regions may temporarily have an Rt> 1 due to small local outbreaks which end up affecting the regional total, without this representing a worrying element .

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