bad Lombardy (0.88%), but worse Val d’Aosta. Lazio 0.13%

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What are the details of the infected people for each region? And above all, what impact does the percentage of positive cases have on the number of inhabitants? There is much talk of Lombardy as the region most affected by the epidemic, but the numbers also tell other truths. As can be seen from the graph, we have calculated and reported, for each region, in addition to the population data, also the number of people tested positive (data updated as of May 28), the percentage of infected people compared to the population, therefore the number of people tested (and not the total number of swabs made, because many tests were carried out several times by the same person after some time to check for possible healing), the percentage of tests carried out compared to the number of inhabitants and finally the percentage of people who tested positive compared to the swabs made.

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One of the data that comes to the eye is the very high number of positive cases in Lombardy (over 88 thousand), clearly higher than that of the other regions, but this has been known and has been repeated for months. But it is not as well known that, if we go to see the relationship between infected and the number of inhabitants, Lombardy (with a percentage of 0.88% positive inhabitants) is not the region that is worse: the Val D’Aosta exceeds it , with an incredible 0.94%. Piedmont follows with 0.70%, Trentino Alto Adige with 0.65%, then Emilia Romagna and Liguria with 0.62%. The average of all Italy is 0.39%, and many regions are abundantly below this line: even only 0.06% of the inhabitants of Calabria have tested positive, and on the podium of the less “infected” regions there are also Basilicata and Sicily with 0.07%. With Campania and Sardinia following suit (0.08%). Lazio is also among the healthiest regions, with 0.13%. We said of the Aosta Valley, but it must be said that it is the region that has subjected the highest percentage of inhabitants to swabs: even 9.14%. Trentino Alto Adige follows this ranking with 7.05%, Veneto (6.59%), Friuli (6.28%) and Umbria (5.43%). Lombardy is still at 4.20%, Lazio is still further behind with 3.37%. But there are two regions that do not even reach two per cent of the inhabitants tested: they are Puglia (1.89%) and Campania, with a small 1.56% of inhabitants tested.

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Let’s move on to one of the most interesting data: the percentage of positives compared to the number of people tested (and not on the total number of swabs made). This is the most realistic data, which really makes us understand how many positive results for every 100 people tested. Needless to say, Lombardy is still clearly leading in this ranking too, with 20.87%. That is to say that over one in five people who had a tampon tested positive. Liguria (16.93%) and Piedmont (15.28%) follow, while basically, among the less infected regions there are Basilicata (only 1.43 positive cases out of 100) and Puglia (1, 79%). Lazio quite well with only 3.88%. From all these numbers and percentages it is clear how in judging the health (or disease) state of a region one must not only consider the absolute values ​​but also those relating to the inhabitants. Because, for example, the 10.29 positive cases out of 100 in the Val d’Aosta do not have the same impact on healthcare facilities as in the Marche region, which has a practically identical percentage (10.59). And this is because the inhabitants of the Val d’Aosta are not even a tenth of those of the Marche. And if we go to make a projection of the incidence of the percentage of positives (always compared to the people tested) on the population, it turns out that in Lombardy as many as 2 million and 99 thousand inhabitants could be potentially positive. It is clear that this is an empirical calculation and not based on scientific foundations, but only serves to make us understand in a more realistic way what is the impact of the positives for each region: for example, Sicily, despite having one of the lowest rates of being positive, being one of the most populated regions with about 5 million inhabitants, unfortunately it has a fairly high number of infected inhabitants. But if Lombardy is clearly in first place in this ranking, it turns out that in Basilicata only 8,035 inhabitants could be potentially positive. Lombardy is followed by Piedmont with 665,530 and Emilia Romagna with 646,385 potentially infected inhabitants. Then, far apart, Campania (305,665), Veneto (290,391) and Liguria (262,498). Lazio is at 228.185.

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Last updated: 11:50

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