Polls! PVV rises again a seat, D66, CDA and PVDA surrender and FVD stagnates – De Daily Standaard


Maurice also concludes:

It is now interesting to determine whether their current choice of vote has a relationship with answering this question about behavior and taking the virus into account.

This analysis could only be performed for parties that currently have 10 seats or more in the poll. We look at the extent to which voters per party in each of those three behavioral categories intend to vote the same party again as in 2017.

Then we see little or no difference in the intention for each of those three categories in the following parties: D66, SP and GroenLinks.

At VVD, PvdA and CDA we see that those who indicate that they take strong account of everything they do in order not to be infected, are more loyal in their choice of party than those who do not do so in everything.

At FVD we did not take the voting behavior at TK2017, but at PS2019, in order to have a good look at the effect. Then FVD got 15% of the votes and now that party stands at 7%.

And then we see a remarkable difference when we compare PVV and FVD with each other. The PVV voters, who in everything they do, take into account not to be infected, are more loyal to the PVV than those who indicate not to do it in everything. However, it is clearly the other way around with FVD. There you see that a large part of the people who do take into account everything they do in order not to become infected, are much less loyal to FVD than those who indicate that they sometimes / little / no account for being infected. . Those voters have largely transferred to the PVV. While the PVV voters who do not take everything into account in order not to be infected have not switched to FVD. They will remain with the PVV.

It would not surprise me that as long as fear of the virus prevails in the electorate, electoral movements remain small.

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