There are three debates. How important is this first debate?
“The first is always the most important,” says correspondent Erik Mouthaan from New York. “The tone is set and millions of people are going to watch. We are going to see for the first time how Biden deals with Trump’s style. We know him as someone who likes to disrupt a debate and interrupt the other.”
According to US researcher Willem Post of the Clingendael Institute, there is also a lot at stake right away. “This first debate is extremely important because it is going to be a very exciting race. A single percent gain in this debate already counts enormously, especially in corona times when Trump stormed the country, but Biden was at home in his basement in Delaware, where he had a TV. studio. “
How are the two doing at the moment?
Mouthaan: “Biden is now 7 percent ahead in the average of national polls. But in the US she votes for state. Some states have already been decided in advance, others are leaning towards Biden. So Trump really needs to do something to turn the tide. . “
Post: “Actually, Biden is in good shape in terms of numbers. In the states that Hillary Clinton narrowly lost four years ago, think of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, he is now ahead. If he wins those three states, he will make a very big one. chance of running for president. “
The debate is divided into six topics of 15 minutes each. The selection was made by debate leader Chris Wallace, an experienced Fox News journalist.
- The track record of both gentlemen.
- The vacant seat at the Supreme Court.
- Fighting the coronavirus.
- The economy in very difficult times.
- The sometimes violent protests against racism and police violence.
- Confidence in the elections going well now more Americans than ever vote by mail.
Biden is not exactly known as a flexible debater, Trump is ad rem and unpredictable. Which strategy should they choose?
Mouthaan: “In the primaries, Biden was not every debate equally strong. For example, he sometimes stopped before his speaking time was over, without making his point. But Biden was certainly not bad in all the debates. Moreover, he had eight, while it before Trump was four years ago. “
Biden has also taken days off to practice. Trump doesn’t, he seems to be practicing on his plane between rallies. oneliners and movies. Trump’s underestimation is therefore lurking. He has always portrayed Biden as a ‘senile old man’. But what if Biden does quite well in the debate and can simply debunk that image? But sometimes you have a bad day in a debate. Even former president Obama had that in his first debate. “
Post: “Biden should try to take advantage of the negative image that has been painted of him beforehand. If he ‘just’ goes through the debate, as he did against former Democratic candidate Bernie Sanders, then that may be enough. if you compare it to a cage fight, Trump should go for the knock-out and Biden for a win on points. ”
On which sensitive points can the two really score?
Mouthaan: “Biden would like to talk about the pandemic. Trump precisely not because the majority of American voters disapprove of his corona policy. Biden will want to respond to this by making it clear to the voter: Trump has abandoned you. Trump must be asked about his tax returns. “
Still, both candidates must realize: who are you doing this debate for? Only a few percent of American voters are still floating. They have to reach them. So Biden should not be too leftist, because that group is already voting for him. will want to portray Biden again as left-wing radical and incompetent. “
Post: “Biden must be careful to stick to his own story. Trump does not care about rules during a debate. The name of Hunter Biden, the son of Biden, will certainly also be mentioned. Trump accuses him of corruption in Ukraine, at the same time. when his father was vice president under Obama. Imaging is important. “
Anyone who wants to follow the debate will have to set the alarm. The debate will start next night at 3 a.m. Dutch time.
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