The goal set by Professor Gamzo for the Corona Cabinet to exit the quarantine

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Prime Minister Netanyahu has estimated that the closure will last for more than two weeks, but the cabinet is already discussing the exit strategy. At the cabinet meeting to be held today (Wednesday), Prof. Gamzo is expected to present three parameters of morbidity – which upon arrival – will begin to take steps to exit the quarantine. This is only 2,000 infections per day, a coefficient of infection that will be only 0.8 and in parallel with a steady trend of a decrease in the number of infections (one of the numbers considered is 300). One of the cabinet ministers referred to the benchmark set by Gamzo and said: “These are too ambitious targets, at the pace he describes we will remain in closure until November.”

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From the moment we reach the numbers set by the Gimzo projector – the recommendation at this point will be to increase the activity of the economy to 50% as well as to resume the activity of the nurseries and kindergartens. Opening up early childhood settings is essential as a first step in expanding job openings, as millions of parents will not be able to go to work – as long as education frameworks remain closed.

Gamzo’s ambitious target does not match at all the latest morbidity figures released this morning by the Ministry of Health. Over the past day, 4,949 new patients were diagnosed out of 34,352 tests performed. Thus the rate of positive tests stands at 15%. 779 of all patients are defined as critically ill, 203 of them are respirators, and so far 1,523 people have died from the virus. Since the outbreak of the corona plague, 239,222 Israelis have been infected.

One of the ministers in the Corona cabinet referred to the goals set by the Corona professor Prof. Gamzo: “These are too ambitious goals that do not fit with his desire to actually preserve the world of work. At the pace he describes, we will remain closed until November. .

Prof. Waxman’s outline – industry and offices at the beginning, events and shows at the end

Yesterday, another exit strategy was laid on the cabinet table by the team of experts of Prof. Eli Waxman from the Weizmann Institute, who advises the National Institute of Technology. Bottom line – a return to a distant routine; the relief will not begin until the daily number of diagnoses is less than 2,000 per day, and the education system in fifth grades and above is resident for another two months.

According to the six outline measures, when the morbidity is reduced to 2,000 new verified people per day, industries and offices without a public, and education frameworks for young people up to the second grade will be opened. Then, when morbidity decreases to 1,000 verified per day, and the decline is at a rate of 20% per week, street shops and markets will open.

The fourth step, defined as ‘epidemic control’, will mark reaching a threshold of 400 infected per day and a 20% drop per week, money to open malls, return third- and fourth-graders to school, open businesses and offices for reception, and expand family and social gatherings. This phase is carried out when it is conditional on the efficient functioning of the system of amputation of the adhesive chains, which, as is well known, is at this stage far from operating optimally.

Tel Aviv Promenade last weekend (Photo: Miriam Elster, Flash 90)
When can we return to the Corona routine? | Photo: Miriam Elster, Flash 90

Restaurants and tourism industries will only open in the fifth step, with the verified patient index falling to 100 patients a day, and a 20% drop in the weekly growth rate. The last, sixth and farthest step to implement is the opening of the events and shows industry, with a drop in morbidity levels of 100 new verified per day for three consecutive weeks.

It is now up to the political echelon to decide which of the quarantine plans he chooses, hoping that this time the quarantine will not be accompanied by a dramatic increase in morbidity – and we will be able to maintain a routine alongside the corona – until the long-awaited vaccine arrives.







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