Overtaken by a virus we’ve known for seven months: how is that possible? | Coronavirus

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Virus was still quiet in August (but not in September)
Since the June 1 easing, when many of the first wave measures were unleashed, we’ve had nearly four months to “ track ” the virus. And if you look at the mathematics behind the virus, it (when the reproduction number R is above 1) has a logical course. A patient becomes two, that becomes four, then eight, then sixteen, and so on. If you know the rate at which the virus is spreading, you can theoretically predict how many infections will be next week, next month or in two months.





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