Behind the first three formations is attested Podemos, down compared to the previous vote with 30-34 seats compared to 42 in April. follows Ciudadanos, which experienced the most serious collapse, going from 57 seats to 14-15, and the separatists of Esquerra Republicanto (13-14) and of Junts for Catalunya (6-7).
If these numbers are confirmed, the only possibility to put together the 176 seats necessary to form a majority government in Parliament is represented by a large coalition between PSOE and Partido Popular, leaving out the most extremist groups both on the right and on the left. A hypothesis never considered until now and difficult to put in place at the last moment, given that at this point it was also due to the uncompromising position held by Sanchez against Podemos which offered him the opportunity to form a left-wing government in exchange for some concessions.
Since it is on the right, with Popolari, Vox and Ciudadanos, and on the left, with Socialists, Podemos and, possibly, some independentist formation, there are no numbers to reach 176 seats, one of the hypotheses is that of a socialist minority government that could form in the event of abstention of the People during the vote of confidence. A risky choice, however, for Casado's party, since, thus, they would manifest a soft attitude towards the socialist political rivals, risking to favor the most radical propaganda of Vox.